Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 28

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.45	3.3
	2.16	3.6	3.25
	2.20	3.56	3.10	Watch
	2.13	3.4	3.29	Watch
	2.15	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 (2.13)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
44%

Draw
26.8%

Hammarby
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	9.1%	22.7%

Malmö - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Hammarby will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hammarby (1.67) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Hammarby (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Hammarby (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Olsen R. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. (C) 19. Rosler C. 13. Olsson M. 7. Rosengren O. 6. Lewicki O. 38. Bolin H. 37. Skogmar A. 29. Haksabanovic S. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T.	1. Hahn W. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 4. Eriksson V. 6. Vagic P. 3. Winther F. 8. Karlsson M. 5. Tekie T. 20. Besara N. (C) 26. Madjed M. 7. Abraham P. 15. Lahdo A.
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 25. Busanello 40. Busuladzic K. 5. Djuric A. 11. Ekong E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 21. Holmquist S. 2. Karlsson J. 15. Soumah S.	17. Fofana I. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 11. Johansson O. 28. Junior Adjei F. 29. Kabore M. 23. Okeke O. 22. Ortmark J. 21. Strand S. 19. Vasic N.
Coaches
Mravac A.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Besara N. ⚽, Abraham P. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Abraham P. ⚽, Skoglund H. (A),
33', Lewicki O. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 3, Stryger J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
46', Skogmar A. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
50', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
52', Jansson P. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Olsson M. ⚽,
63', Lahdo A. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
63', Bolin H. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
63', Olsson M. ↓, Busanello ↑,
69', Vagic P. 🟨,
76', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
80', Madjed M. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
80', Tekie T. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
80', Abraham P. ↓, Okeke O. ↑,
90+4', Besara N. ↓, Kabore M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.

Malmö has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hammarby is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hammarby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Malmö is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Malmö: Berg O. (Inactive) Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Christiansen A. (Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)

There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Malmö - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.25	Norrköping - Malmö	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sirius - Malmö	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Malmö	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.09.25	Malmö - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLW
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.25	Hammarby - AIK	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	IFK Göteborg - Hammarby	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Halmstad - Hammarby	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Hammarby - Häcken	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Djurgården - Hammarby	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.25	Hammarby - Malmö	2:0
02.11.24	Hammarby - Malmö	2:2
07.04.24	Malmö - Hammarby	2:0
17.09.23	Hammarby - Malmö	1:3
30.04.23	Malmö - Hammarby	4:2
01.10.22	Malmö - Hammarby	0:0
Svenska Cupen
26.05.22	Hammarby - Malmö	0:1 penalties

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