Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Expressen


	Mjällby		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5.25
	1.62	3.27	6.04
	1.62	3.76	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	3.79 ↓ (4.65)	5.75 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjällby
59.3%

Draw
24.5%

Trelleborg
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

19.7%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

The chances for Trelleborg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjällby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Mjällby - Trelleborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tornqvist N. (G) 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 16. Johansson A. 14. Johansson H. 13. Kiilerich J. 19. Manneh A. 4. Noren A. 10. Rojkjaer N. 17. Stroud E. 27. Tidstrand L.	1. Larsen A. (G) 21. Alievski E. 16. Asani A. 17. Bohman F. 24. Christiansson V. 11. Culum A. 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 22. Martinsson F. 10. Vidjeskog A. 3. Weberg C. (C)
Substitutes
18. Bergstrom J. 23. Bjorklund W. 8. Kusu M. 35. Lundin A. (G) 31. Nwankwo S. 6. Thorell L.	15. Godwin E. 26. Kack J. 25. Lofberg E. 23. Mattson L. 12. Nilsson M. (G) 28. Ogwuche A. 4. Rehn A. 8. Ruuska O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
59', 🟥,
66', 3 - 0, ⚽,
86', 🟨,
88', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mjällby won 4.

Mjällby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trelleborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mjällby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mjällby have a series of home games.

Recently Trelleborg have a series of guest games.

In this match Mjällby is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mjällby to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mjällby won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mjällby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Club Friendly
12.03.25	Mjällby - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
08.03.25	Mjällby - Häcken	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Mjällby - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Gefle - Mjällby	0:5 ✺
16.02.25	Mjällby - Landskrona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW
- Trelleborgs FF
Svenska Cupen
09.03.25	Norrköping - Trelleborg	3:1 ET ✺
28.02.25	Degerfors - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Trelleborg - AIK	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Värnamo - Trelleborg	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.25	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.03.22	Mjällby - Trelleborg	1:1
Swedish Superettan
25.09.19	Trelleborg - Mjällby	0:3
15.05.19	Mjällby - Trelleborg	2:1
Club Friendly
14.03.15	Mjällby - Trelleborg	2:0
Friendly
21.06.12	Mjällby - Trelleborg	N/A

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