Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Mjøndalen		Viking Stavanger

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.33	1.75	Watch
	3.75	3.8	1.82
	3.9	4.1	1.81	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.81
	4.03	4.22	1.83
	3.9	3.75	1.8
	3.96	4.05	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.46)	4.01 ↑ (3.34)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
24.2%

Draw
23.5%

Viking Stavanger
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viking Stavanger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viking Stavanger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mjøndalen - Viking Stavanger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Mjøndalen has the most likely position - 16 (45.62%), has project points - 23, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Viking has the most likely position - 3 (57.73%), has project points - 53, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Mjøndalen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viking is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mjøndalen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Viking is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.10.21	Odd - Mjøndalen	2:2 ✺
27.10.21	Mjøndalen - Kristiansund	5:0 ✺
24.10.21	Tromsø - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Haugesund - Mjøndalen	7:0 ✺
03.10.21	Mjøndalen - Brann	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLLT
- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.10.21	Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08	1:2 ✺
28.10.21	Brann - Viking Stavanger	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Viking Stavanger - Lillestrøm SK	5:1 ✺
17.10.21	Strømsgodset - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Viking Stavanger - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
27.05.21	Viking Stavanger - Mjøndalen	2:1
27.09.20	Mjøndalen - Viking Stavanger	1:2
24.06.20	Viking Stavanger - Mjøndalen	1:1
30.09.19	Viking Stavanger - Mjøndalen	4:1
30.06.19	Mjøndalen - Viking Stavanger	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.11.18	Mjøndalen - Viking Stavanger	2:4
10.04.18	Viking Stavanger - Mjøndalen	0:2

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