Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 11

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Odd		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.38	4.75	6.5
				Watch
	1.41	5.01	7.02
				Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.43	4.8	6.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)	4.76 ↑ (4.73)	6.56 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
66.2%

Draw
19.6%

Mjøndalen
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.8%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.7%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mjøndalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Odd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Odd - Mjøndalen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Mjøndalen (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Odd (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Odd (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Odd will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Odd will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Odd (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Mjøndalen (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen A. (G) 14. Gunnerod J. 25. Ambrose G. 21. Hagen S. (C) 13. Skjeldal S. 23. Kojo N. 8. Hussain E. 7. Jorgensen F. 11. Hagen O. 22. Borven T. 10. Njie B.	1. Solberg K. (G) 26. Eriksen S. (C) 4. Mrakovic T. 2. Vik I. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 10. Saetherbo K. 17. Bata K. 28. Sawaneh E. 6. Skau J. 15. Kvam F. 20. Conteh A.
Substitutes
18. Aas S. 27. Adamu M. 3. Baccay J. 16. Glenna C. 12. Hansen S. (G) 20. Hardarson H. 4. Walstad N. 29. Zekhnini R.	23. Agelin T. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 11. Bruusgaard J. 16. Godwin F. 14. Midtgard O. 7. Reutersward L. 37. Singh B. 8. Willumsen E.
Coaches
Ronningene K.	Nicol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Borven T. ⚽, Hagen O. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Kvam F. ⚽, Skau J. (A),
37', Bata K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Hagen O. ↓, Zekhnini R. ↑,
63', Kojo N. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
65', Holst-Larsen F. ↓, Agelin T. ↑,
65', Sawaneh E. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
65', Saetherbo K. ↓, Willumsen E. ↑,
76', Kvam F. ↓, Bruusgaard J. ↑,
81', Bata K. ↓, Godwin F. ↑,
83', Njie B. ↓, Hardarson H. ↑,
83', Ambrose G. ↓, Walstad N. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Odd won 4.

Odd is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mjøndalen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Odd is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Odd won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:17. (average 2.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Odd won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.06.25	Raufoss - Odd	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Odd - Åsane	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Hødd - Odd	3:1 ✺
16.05.25	Odd - Moss	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Kongsvinger - Odd	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.06.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	2:2 ✺
29.05.25	Lyn - Mjøndalen	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Mjøndalen - Lillestrøm SK	0:6 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.02.24	Odd - Mjøndalen	3:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.10.21	Odd - Mjøndalen	2:2
01.07.21	Mjøndalen - Odd	1:2
30.08.20	Odd - Mjøndalen	6:1
29.07.20	Mjøndalen - Odd	0:2
04.11.19	Odd - Mjøndalen	3:2
14.07.19	Mjøndalen - Odd	2:0

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