Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion Karađorđe (Novi Sad)

Referee: Zivkovic A. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Mladost Novi Sad		Novi Pazar

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.75	2.7	2.45
	2.75	2.85	2.6
	2.81	2.87	2.77
	2.7	2.88	2.55
	2.67	2.99	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)	2.87 ↓ (3)	2.57 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladost Novi Sad
33.3%

Draw
31.5%

Novi Pazar
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladost Novi Sad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Novi Sad than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladost Novi Sad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Mladost Novi Sad - Novi Pazar Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mladost Novi Sad will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Novi Pazar will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novi Pazar: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group)).

Mladost Novi Sad has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Novi Pazar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mladost Novi Sad
Serbian Superliga
21.08.22	Bačka Topola - Mladost Novi Sad	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Mladost Novi Sad - Partizan	0:1 ✺
08.08.22	Javor Ivanjica - Mladost Novi Sad	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Mladost Novi Sad - Čukarički	0:2 ✺
24.07.22	Voždovac - Mladost Novi Sad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
19.08.22	Novi Pazar - Napredak Kruševac	2:1 ✺
12.08.22	Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar	1:3 ✺
06.08.22	Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar	0:1 ✺
29.07.22	Novi Pazar - Partizan	1:0 ✺
22.07.22	Javor Ivanjica - Novi Pazar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.5 WWWWL

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