Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 4

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Gradski Stadion Čair (Niš)

Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 2


	Radnički Niš		Novi Pazar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.02	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.54	3.41
	1.82	3.74	3.97	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.02	3.42	3.39	Watch
	2	3.5	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.54)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.38 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnički Niš
46.1%

Draw
26.7%

Novi Pazar
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnički Niš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnički Niš's performance.

Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novi Pazar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnički Niš that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novi Pazar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Radnički Niš will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički Niš: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Radnički Niš will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Manojlovic S. (G) 3. Yamkam M. (C) 4. Vitas U. 15. Pavlovic D. 12. Mboup B. 71. Petrovic D. 21. Ilic V. 22. Milosavljevic R. 20. Sreckovic N. 8. Belakovic N. 7. Bosic R.	1. Samcovic Z. (G) 23. Marinkovic J. 4. Hadzimujovic A. 8. Abdullahi A. 3. Miletic N. (C) 24. Davidovic I. 6. Cisse A. 7. Omoregbe B. 5. Bruncevic E. 21. Petkovic M. 9. Iyede S.
Substitutes
17. Ewemade D. 24. Ilic M. 89. Izderic L. 9. Kone 2. Mijailovic M. 70. Nikolic S. 45. Nisic J. 33. Petkovic M. 30. Radonjic M. 97. Spasic M. 94. Stanivukovic D. (G)	14. Alic S. 15. Backulja F. 2. Bojat D. 18. Djerlek A. 30. Ingenc B. 27. Kilic A. 17. Malekinusic M. 20. Mirosavic V. 11. Opara E. 12. Prekovic M. (G) 16. Togbe S.
Coaches
Matic S.	Gacinovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽, Davidovic I. (A),
38', Ilic V. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Bosic R. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Belakovic N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Abdullahi A. ↓, Togbe S. ↑,
46', Iyede S. ↓, Opara E. ↑,
46', Omoregbe B. ↓, Bojat D. ↑,
58', Sreckovic N. ↓, Nisic J. ↑,
64', Petkovic M. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
67', Mboup B. ↓, Mijailovic M. ↑,
67', Petrovic D. ↓, Nikolic S. ↑,
73', Davidovic I. ↓, Malekinusic M. ↑,
78', Miletic N. 🟨,
79', Ilic V. ↓, Spasic M. ↑,
79', Belakovic N. ↓, Ewemade D. ↑,
84', Malekinusic M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Alic S. ⚽, Opara E. (A),
90+2', 2 - 3, Opara E. ⚽, Malekinusic M. (A),
90+9', Samcovic Z. 🟨,
90+11', Milosavljevic R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnički Niš won 1.

Radnički Niš is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Novi Pazar is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Radnički Niš may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Radnički Niš has had a series of away games.

Radnički Niš might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnički Niš won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Radnički Niš won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga
03.08.25	Čukarički - Radnički Niš	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Radnički Niš - Mladost Lučani	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	Bačka Topola - Radnički Niš	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	CSKA Sofia - Radnički Niš	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Farul Constanța - Radnički Niš	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLL
- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
04.08.25	Novi Pazar - IMT Novi Beograd	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Novi Pazar	3:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
27.07.25	Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Novi Pazar - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.25	Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
07.04.25	Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš	3:3
09.11.24	Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar	2:1
24.05.24	Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš	2:1
15.04.24	Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš	2:2
10.11.23	Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar	0:1
12.02.23	Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš	0:0
12.08.22	Radnički Niš - Novi Pazar	1:3

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