Match Info

Prva NL - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion "Brdo" Zdralovi (Bjelovar)


	Mladost Ždralovi		Karlovac

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.50	4.33
	1.70	3.40	4.20
	1.68	3.35	4.40
	1.80	3.37	4.72
	1.73	3.67	4.15	Watch
	1.78	3.10	4.35
	1.74	3.65	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.69)	3.43 ↓ (3.62)	4.38 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladost Ždralovi
52.7%

Draw
26.5%

Karlovac
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

24.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladost Ždralovi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Karlovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Ždralovi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mladost Ždralovi - Karlovac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grahovac M. (G) 5. Azinovic A. 3. Balen P. 21. Bozanovic M. 6. Brezina T. 8. Canadjija D. 9. Mandic N. 10. Ozobic F. 14. Pavkovic D. 7. Stjepanovic N. 27. Tyongi B. K.	12. Zaverukha I. (G) 19. Bubnjar A. 23. Kapulica L. 16. Mrkela P. 20. Ocvirek N. 2. Ropar D. 18. Sop M. 4. Stepinac G. (C) 34. Tadic M. 3. Zilinski F. 10. Zuljevic M.
Substitutes
4. Bosnjak I. 20. Fernandes L. 25. Kresic M. 12. Misevic L. (G) 13. Nikolic M. 18. Santalab P. 88. Simetic J. 19. Travaglia L. 24. Zeravica M.	11. Gaspar M. 1. Kostopec M. (G) 27. Lepinjica I. 22. Pervan M. 9. Qestaj E. 24. Raguz P. 7. Ribar I. 32. Skrbin V. 15. Stipic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Mandic N. ⚽,
24', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Karlovac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mladost Ždralovi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Mladost Ždralovi will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mladost Ždralovi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mladost Ždralovi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mladost Zdralovi	7	3	2	2	6:6	0	11
11	Karlovac	7	2	2	3	8:10	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mladost Ždralovi
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Orijent - Mladost Ždralovi	2:3 penalties ✺
Croatian Prva NL
05.09.26	Dugopolje - Mladost Ždralovi	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Mladost Ždralovi - Sesvete	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Kustošija - Mladost Ždralovi	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Mladost Ždralovi - Vukovar 91	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTWWT
- Karlovac
Croatian Prva NL
06.09.26	Karlovac - Hrvace	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Dugopolje - Karlovac	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Karlovac - Opatija	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
26.08.26	Tigar Sveta Nedelja - Karlovac	1:4 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
21.08.26	Sesvete - Karlovac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
21.02.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Karlovac	1:1
23.08.24	Karlovac - Mladost Ždralovi	2:3
24.02.24	Mladost Ždralovi - Karlovac	2:3
19.08.23	Karlovac - Mladost Ždralovi	3:2

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