Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Lokotrans Arena (Mlada Boleslav)

Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo


	Mladá Boleslav		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.02	Watch
	2.62	3.33	2.48	Watch
	3.56	3.67	2	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.62)	3.5 ↑ (3.33)	2.14 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladá Boleslav
29.8%

Draw
26.6%

Sigma Olomouc
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mladá Boleslav's form might have worsened.

Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sigma Olomouc's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	36.4%	63.6%

Mladá Boleslav - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sigma will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sigma: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sigma Olomouc will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Mandous A. (G) 13. Donat D. 32. Matousek F. 3. Kralik M. (C) 31. Kostka D. 19. Kozel D. 67. Zika J. 21. Subert M. 49. Kolarik J. 28. Langhamer D. 23. Klima J.	91. Koutny J. (G) 22. Hadas M. 2. Sylla A. 21. Kral J. 23. Dumitrescu A. 7. Breite R. (C) 47. Beran M. 10. Kostadinov T. 70. Ghali A. 15. Vasulin D. 6. Sip J.
Substitutes
59. Floder J. (G) 11. Fulnek J. 6. Hora V. 20. John S. 37. Krulich M. 10. Lehky F. 7. Macek R. 38. Prebsl F. 22. Sevcik M. 9. Vojta M. 26. Zachoval M.	77. Dolznikov A. 98. Hruska M. (G) 5. Huk T. 39. Janosek D. 37. Langer S. 33. Maly M. 25. Mikulenka M. 30. Navratil J. 16. Slavicek F. 8. Spacil J. 26. Tijani M.
Coaches
Majer A.	Janotka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Sip J. ⚽, Beran M. (A),
34', Sylla A. 🟨,
37', Sip J. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Vasulin D. ⚽, Hadas M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sylla A. ↓, Huk T. ↑,
46', Kostadinov T. ↓, Langer S. ↑,
62', Zika J. 🟨,
64', Kozel D. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
68', Ghali A. ↓, Navratil J. ↑,
68', Sip J. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
73', Subert M. ↓, John S. ↑,
73', Kostka D. ↓, Sevcik M. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Langer S. ⚽, Dolznikov A. (A),
80', 1 - 3, Kolarik J. ⚽, Donat D. (A),
87', 1 - 4, Vasulin D. (Pen),
88', Vasulin D. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 1.

Mladá Boleslav is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sigma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sigma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J. (Health problems) Mares D. (Injury)

There will not play in Sigma: Kliment J. (Broken calfbone) Leibl M. (Injury) Michez S. (Injury) Muritala Y. (Knee Injury) Slama J. (Ankle Injury) Tkac D. (Muscle Injury) Vrastil L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sigma: Yasser M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:39. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mladá Boleslav - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
25.10.25	Mladá Boleslav - Karviná	2:4 ✺
22.10.25	Bohemians 1905 - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLTL
- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
26.10.25	Sigma Olomouc - Slavia Prague	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Sigma Olomouc - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.10.25	Karviná - Sigma Olomouc	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sigma Olomouc - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
15.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Sigma Olomouc	1:3
18.08.24	Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav	3:2
16.03.24	Mladá Boleslav - Sigma Olomouc	2:1
07.10.23	Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav	4:0
18.03.23	Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav	2:0
01.10.22	Mladá Boleslav - Sigma Olomouc	1:1
13.05.22	Mladá Boleslav - Sigma Olomouc	2:2

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