Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 11
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport 3, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 11, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Fiorentina		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	11
	1.24	5.9	10.5
	1.27	6.02	11.38
	1.30	5.17	9.63	Watch
	1.3	5.56	11
	1.22	6.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.19)	5.72 ↓ (6.2)	10.92 ↓ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
74.7%

Draw
16.6%

Sigma Olomouc
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.3%

15%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	4%	4%

Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Sigma will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sigma (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 18. Mari P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 27. Ndour C. 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 21. Gosens R. 9. Dzeko E. 91. Piccoli R.	91. Koutny J. (G) 16. Slavicek F. 2. Sylla A. 21. Kral J. 13. Slama J. (C) 47. Beran M. 10. Kostadinov T. 70. Ghali A. 24. Tkac D. 77. Dolznikov A. 25. Mikulenka M.
Substitutes
15. Comuzzo P. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 10. Gudmundsson A. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 30. Martinelli T. (G) 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 65. Parisi F. 24. Richardson A. 11. Sabiri A. 26. Viti M.	7. Breite R. 23. Dumitrescu A. 22. Hadas M. 98. Hruska M. (G) 5. Huk T. 39. Janosek D. 37. Langer S. 33. Maly M. 75. Michez S. 30. Navratil J. 6. Sip J. 26. Tijani M.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Janotka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Fagioli N. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Piccoli R. ⚽, Ndour C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tkac D. ↓, Langer S. ↑,
59', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
59', Mandragora R. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
62', Ndour C. 🟨,
63', Dolznikov A. ↓, Michez S. ↑,
64', Mikulenka M. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
65', Ghali A. 🟨,
72', Dzeko E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
72', Dodo ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
72', Kostadinov T. ↓, Breite R. ↑,
77', Michez S. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
84', de Gea D. 🟨,
85', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Ndour C. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fiorentina is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Red Card) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Sohm S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Sigma: Kliment J. (Broken calfbone) Leibl M. (Inactive) Muritala Y. (Knee Injury) Spacil J. (Inactive) Vasulin D. (Muscle Injury) Vrastil L. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Pisa - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Fiorentina - Como	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Torino - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTW
- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
27.09.25	Bohemians 1905 - Sigma Olomouc	2:2 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Nové Sady - Sigma Olomouc	3:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.25	Sigma Olomouc - Teplice	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sigma Olomouc - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLW

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