The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Modbury Jets 48.5%
Draw 23.3%
Adelaide United U23 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
25.2%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
24.7%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modbury Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modbury Jets's performance.
Adelaide United U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modbury Jets than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modbury Jets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide United U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Francesca J. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, McCabe H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 3 - 0, McCabe L. ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, McCabe H. ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 0, Schimizzi F. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Modbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Modbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).
Watch
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