Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Modbury Jets		FK Beograd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.4
	2.82	3.5	2.1	Watch
	2.9	3.65	2.2
	2.57	3.91	2.33	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.93	3.5	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.69)	3.58 ↓ (3.82)	2.26 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modbury Jets
33.9%

Draw
25.6%

FK Beograd
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

23.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

23.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modbury Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

FK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modbury Jets than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Modbury Jets - FK Beograd Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Beograd (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Beograd (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beograd (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modbury won 2.

Modbury has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Beograd has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Modbury won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Modbury won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modbury Jets
Australian NPL South Australian
05.07.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Modbury Jets	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Modbury Jets - Adelaide City	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Campbelltown City - Modbury Jets	2:2 ✺
13.06.25	Modbury Jets - Para Hills Knights	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Croydon - Modbury Jets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTL
- FK Beograd Australia
Australian NPL South Australian
05.07.25	FK Beograd - Playford City Patriots	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	FK Beograd - West Torrens Birkalla	1:3 ✺
21.06.25	North Eastern MetroStars - FK Beograd	4:1 ✺
14.06.25	FK Beograd - Adelaide United U23	3:1 ✺
09.06.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - FK Beograd	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
25.04.25	FK Beograd - Modbury Jets	2:0
27.07.24	FK Beograd - Modbury Jets	3:1
04.05.24	Modbury Jets - FK Beograd	2:1
12.05.23	FK Beograd - Modbury Jets	3:4
18.02.23	Modbury Jets - FK Beograd	2:2
Australian APL Premier League
17.07.15	Modbury Jets - FK Beograd	1:0

Modbury Jets - FK Beograd: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide