Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 26

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Saniat Rmel (Tetouan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia 3, SNRT Live


	Moghreb Tétouan		IR Tanger

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.3	2.92	2.26	Watch
	3.36	2.91	2.27	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.56)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)	2.26 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moghreb Tétouan
28.8%

Draw
30.6%

IR Tanger
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

31%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moghreb Tétouan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moghreb Tétouan's form might have worsened.

IR Tanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IR Tanger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moghreb Tétouan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IR Tanger than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IR Tanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Moghreb Tétouan - IR Tanger Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moghreb Tétouan will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). IR Tanger will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moghreb Tétouan (votes: 1 - 50%). IR Tanger (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Moghreb Tétouan (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Moghreb Tétouan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). IR Tanger (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tagnaouti A. R. (G) 17. Amhih Y. 21. Ben Khajjou Z. 24. Chabboud A. 9. Darai H. 11. El Megri B. 19. Jaadi R. 44. Karmoun M. 90. Lakhal A. 3. Madkour A. 74. Oulad Abdelouahab R.	1. El Ouaad A. (G) 8. Abdoul Mutalib F. 31. Bencherifa M. W. 2. Chaina Y. 14. El Bahja H. 21. El Moudene H. 77. El Ouadghiri B. 18. Elowasti H. 13. Laaz 17. Maali A. 5. Moutaouali M.
Substitutes
64. Ben Youssef H. 14. Eddaoudi D. E. 1. El Jourbaoui M. (G) 88. Ghailan Z. 57. Ilyass T. 66. Karraz Y. 10. Krouch Z. 20. Wayo A. 18. Zerri A.	6. Aarab N. 20. El Bellali E. 3. Gaddarine B. 19. Ghabra J. 15. Jarfi A. 96. Kpolo L. 73. Laghzal Y. (G) 23. Lamrabat A. 78. Sanogo S.
Coaches
Drideb J.	Et-Tair H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, El Megri B. ⚽, Darai H. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Darai H. ⚽, El Megri B. (A),
45+5', Chaina Y. 🟨,
45+5', El Ouaad A. 🟨,
45+6', El Megri B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abdoul Mutalib F. ↓, Ghabra J. ↑,
46', Maali A. ↓, El Bellali E. ↑,
46', Elowasti H. ↓, Kpolo L. ↑,
48', Chabboud A. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Moutaouali M. (Pen),
52', Madkour A. 🟨,
53', Madkour A. 🟥,
53', Tagnaouti A. R. 🟨,
57', Jaadi R. ↓, Karraz Y. ↑,
66', Jaadi R. 🟨,
75', Ben Khajjou Z. 🟨,
76', Ben Khajjou Z. ↓, Eddaoudi D. E. ↑,
86', Bencherifa M. W. ↓, Gaddarine B. ↑,
90', Lakhal A. 🟨,
90+3', El Megri B. ↓, Ben Youssef H. ↑,
90+3', Lakhal A. ↓, Wayo A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moghreb Tétouan won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

IR Tanger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Moghreb Tétouan won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:20 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Moghreb Tétouan won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
05.04.25	Moghreb Tétouan - Wydad Casablanca	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Ittihad Zemmouri Khemisset - Moghreb Tétouan	0:1 ✺
Moroccan Excellence Cup
20.03.25	Raja Casablanca - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
16.03.25	Raja Casablanca - Moghreb Tétouan	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Moghreb Tétouan - Berkane	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLTL
- IR Tanger
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
27.03.25	IR Tanger - Berkane	0:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
15.03.25	IR Tanger - Wydad Casablanca	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Maghreb Fez - IR Tanger	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	IR Tanger - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Renaissance Zemamra - IR Tanger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
23.11.24	IR Tanger - Moghreb Tétouan	1:2
14.04.24	Moghreb Tétouan - IR Tanger	1:1
26.11.23	IR Tanger - Moghreb Tétouan	1:1
21.02.23	IR Tanger - Moghreb Tétouan	2:0
09.09.22	Moghreb Tétouan - IR Tanger	1:0
23.05.21	Moghreb Tétouan - IR Tanger	1:0
20.12.20	IR Tanger - Moghreb Tétouan	1:1

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