Match Info

INDIA: I-LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kishore Bharati Krirangan (Kolkata)


	Mohammedan Kolkata		Churchill Brothers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4	5	Watch
	1.54	4.09	5.7
	1.52	4.09	5.7
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.48	4.05	5.73
	1.52	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.85)	4.02 ↑ (3.53)	5.5 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohammedan Kolkata
60.6%

Draw
22.8%

Churchill Brothers
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohammedan Kolkata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mohammedan Kolkata's performance.

Churchill Brothers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Churchill Brothers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mohammedan Kolkata than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mohammedan Kolkata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Churchill Brothers than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Churchill Brothers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Mohammedan Kolkata - Churchill Brothers Predictions

Users Predictions: Mohammedan Kolkata will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chettri P. (G) 4. Kasimov M. 16. Irshad M. 19. Lalhlansanga D. 10. Gomez A. 20. Hernandez E. 14. Ralte Z. 22. Singh S. 55. Jassim M. 29. Fanai L. 28. Adjei J.	1. Chowdhury S. (G) 2. Chandan N. 10. Chaves M. 17. Ralte L. 7. Fernandes S. 27. Thangmuansang S. 8. Raju R. 33. Costa R. 70. Samb A. 40. Essien E. 34. Kouakou A.
Substitutes
7. Barretto B. 34. Chhakchhuak V. 47. Faiaz S. 99. Ghosh T. 33. Jongte L. (G) 77. Kozlov E. 11. Luwang W. 25. Mallick S. 23. Nellar J. 2. Singh T. J.	88. Ajulu C. 14. Colaco A. 18. Dias T. 11. Faisal A. 26. Haokip L. 24. Khan B. (G) 30. Kumar A. 15. Lianzela L. 99. Louis O.
Coaches
Chernyshov A.	Bonet F.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ISL and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mohammedan won 1.

Mohammedan in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Churchill Brothers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Churchill Brothers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Churchill Brothers have a series of home games.

In this match Mohammedan is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mohammedan to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mohammedan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mohammedan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohammedan Kolkata
Indian I-League
09.03.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Namdhari	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Gokulam Kerala - Mohammedan Kolkata	2:3 ✺
29.02.24	Sreenidi Deccan - Mohammedan Kolkata	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	TRAU - Mohammedan Kolkata	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Rajasthan United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTWW
- Churchill Brothers
Indian I-League
08.03.24	NEROCA - Churchill Brothers	2:3 ✺
04.03.24	Churchill Brothers - Shillong Lajong	2:1 ✺
27.02.24	Churchill Brothers - Delhi	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Churchill Brothers - Gokulam Kerala	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Churchill Brothers - Real Kashmir	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indian I-League
17.12.23	Churchill Brothers - Mohammedan Kolkata	0:0
07.02.23	Mohammedan Kolkata - Churchill Brothers	1:2
06.12.22	Churchill Brothers - Mohammedan Kolkata	2:1
06.05.22	Mohammedan Kolkata - Churchill Brothers	2:0
16.03.22	Mohammedan Kolkata - Churchill Brothers	1:2
15.03.21	Churchill Brothers - Mohammedan Kolkata	1:4
14.01.21	Mohammedan Kolkata - Churchill Brothers	0:0

Mohammedan Kolkata - Churchill Brothers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide