The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mojados 34.1%
Draw 30%
La Virgen del Camino 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
30.2%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
27.6%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mojados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mojados than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mojados that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Virgen del Camino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Mojados has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
La Virgen is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
La Virgen might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mojados won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Mojados won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
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