Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 30Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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Arandina |
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La Virgen del Camino |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.58 |
2.78 |
2.78 |
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2.26 |
2.89 |
3.29 |
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2.57 |
2.87 |
2.86 |
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2.3 |
2.7 |
3.25 |
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2.21 |
2.82 |
3.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.53) |
2.81 ↑
(2.73) |
3.12 ↑
(2.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arandina
38.3% | Draw
32.4% | La Virgen del Camino
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Arandina - La Virgen del Camino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 2.Arandina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, La Virgen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Arandina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | La Virgen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 06.12.25 | La Virgen del Camino - Arandina | 1:1 | | 05.04.25 | Arandina - La Virgen del Camino | 1:1 | | 16.11.24 | La Virgen del Camino - Arandina | 1:0 | | 26.02.23 | Arandina - La Virgen del Camino | 1:0 | | 22.10.22 | La Virgen del Camino - Arandina | 1:2 | | 02.04.22 | La Virgen del Camino - Arandina | 1:0 | | 21.11.21 | Arandina - La Virgen del Camino | 2:1 |
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