Match Info

Cymru North - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Mold Alexandra		Newtown

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.45	2.22
	2.51	3.69	2.29
	2.61	3.68	2.42	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.2
	2.68	3.97	2.34
	2.6	3.55	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.03)	3.66 ↓ (3.69)	2.28 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mold Alexandra
35.3%

Draw
24.9%

Newtown
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

24.7%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

25.7%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mold Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mold Alexandra's performance.

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newtown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mold Alexandra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newtown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mold Alexandra - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Kargbo I. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Gregson L. ⚽,
70', Hogan L. 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 2, Boakye H. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd and 3rd).

Mold Alexandra arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Newtown shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mold Alexandra could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Newtown has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mold Alexandra has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mold Alexandra against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newtown	9	7	1	1	18:3	15	22
3	Mold Alexandra	10	6	2	2	24:13	11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.26	Mold Alexandra - Llanuwchllyn	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	1:5 ✺
28.08.26	Ruthin Town - Mold Alexandra	0:4 ✺
21.08.26	Mold Alexandra - Buckley Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWW
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
26.09.26	Newtown - Porthmadog	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Newtown	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Newtown - Denbigh Town	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newtown - Llanuwchllyn	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Newtown - Guilsfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
03.04.26	Newtown - Mold Alexandra	1:2
08.11.25	Mold Alexandra - Newtown	1:3

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