Match Info

Cymru North - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Newtown		Porthmadog

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.25	4.7
	1.51	4.42	4.89
	1.57	4.25	5.1	Watch
	1.49	4.35	4.8
	1.45	4.3	5.32
	1.49	4.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	4.3 ↑ (4.25)	4.92 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
60.5%

Draw
21.1%

Porthmadog
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Porthmadog have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Newtown - Porthmadog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 1, Williams R. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd and 6th).

Newtown is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Porthmadog have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Newtown is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Newtown in today's match, at odds of 1.5.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newtown	9	7	1	1	18:3	15	22
4	Porthmadog	10	6	2	2	17:11	6	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Newtown	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Newtown - Denbigh Town	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newtown - Llanuwchllyn	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Newtown - Guilsfield	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Gresford Athletic - Newtown	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWTW
- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.26	Porthmadog - Ruthin Town	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Porthmadog - Bala Town	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Porthmadog	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Porthmadog - Caersws	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTLW

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