Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Stojchevski I. (Mkd)


	Molde		Kisvárda

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.5
	1.33	5.25	8.5
	1.28	5.25	10
	1.33	5	7.8
	1.37	5.07	8.18
	1.27	5.35	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.58)	5.15 ↑ (4)	8.38 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
70.7%

Draw
18.2%

Kisvárda
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.3%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

23.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molde's performance.

Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kisvárda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kisvárda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.8%	4.1%	6.1%

Molde - Kisvárda Predictions

Users Predictions: Molde will win (44 of 49 users predict this - 89.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.33% – 98.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Molde in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kisvárda is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kisvárda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Molde is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Molde to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.07.22	Molde - Strømsgodset	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Elfsborg - Molde	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.07.22	Sandefjord - Molde	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Molde - Elfsborg	4:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.07.22	Molde - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB I
31.07.22	Kisvárda - Debreceni	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Kisvárda - Kairat	1:0 ✺
21.07.22	Kairat - Kisvárda	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.22	Kisvárda - Diósgyőri	2:3
08.07.22	Admira - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLW

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