Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Molde		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.75
	1.66	4.2	4.5
	1.65	4.3	4.84
	1.62	4.41	4.51	Watch
	1.57	4	4.5
	1.66	4.38	4.88	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.81)	4.24 ↑ (3.83)	4.62 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
57.5%

Draw
22.2%

Elfsborg
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

27.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molde's performance.

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	10.8%	2.7%

Molde - Elfsborg Predictions

Users Predictions: Molde will win (62 of 70 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.12% – 96.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Posiadala A. (G) 3. Oyvann C. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 4. Lund V. 18. Stenevik H. 16. Breivik E. 17. Daehli M. 15. Kaasa M. 31. Lovik M. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 20. Eriksen K.	31. Pettersson I. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 29. Buhari I. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. 16. Ouma T. 23. Hult N. 14. Abdullai J. 10. Baidoo M. 18. Qasem A.
Substitutes
26. Amundsen I. 14. Berisha V. 10. Enggaard M. 23. Granaas S. 19. Haugan E. 5. Hestad E. 9. Ihler F. 34. McDermott S. (G) 29. Nyheim G. 33. Odegard N. 11. Olanare A. 6. Roaldsoy A.	6. Baldursson A. F. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 17. Frick P. 11. Gudmundsson E. A. 4. Henriksson G. 12. Holten E. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 28. Ostman L. 26. Richtner L. 7. Thomasen J. 9. Zeneli A.
Coaches
Moe E.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Qasem A. ⚽, Baidoo M. (A),
26', Lovik M. 🟨,
43', Qasem A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Breivik E. ↓, Enggaard M. ↑,
46', Oyvann C. ↓, Haugan E. ↑,
62', Qasem A. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
64', Lund V. 🟨,
72', Kaasa M. ↓, Berisha V. ↑,
77', Frick P. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
77', Eikrem M. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
84', Haugan E. 🟨,
89', Pettersson I. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Molde is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elfsborg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elfsborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Molde have a series of guest games.

In this match Molde is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Molde won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Molde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Molde	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.08.24	Lillestrøm SK - Molde	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Molde - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
01.08.24	Silkeborg IF - Molde	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.07.24	Viking Stavanger - Molde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLL
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.08.24	Mjällby - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Elfsborg - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.08.24	Elfsborg - GAIS	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Rijeka - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
01.08.24	Elfsborg - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Elfsborg - Molde	1:2
21.07.22	Molde - Elfsborg	4:1

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