Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Zimbru (Chişinău)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Lithuania	LRT Plius, LRT TV
Mexico	Izzi TV
Moldova	Moldova 1
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	Disney+
World	VIX App


	Moldova		Lithuania

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.82	2.88	2.72
	2.92	2.92	2.74
	2.93	3.13	2.45	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	2.97	3.04	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.31)	2.96 ↓ (3.39)	2.66 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moldova
33%

Draw
31.7%

Lithuania
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moldova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moldova's form might have worsened.

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Moldova - Lithuania Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Moldova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lithuania will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Timbur E. (G) Sheriff Tiraspol 14. Revenco I. Presov 15. Bors I. Petrocub Hincesti 4. Baboglo V. Karpaty Lviv 6. Gherasimencov M. Vancouver Whitecaps 16. Forov D. Sheriff Tiraspol 22. Rata V. (C) Campionii Arges 24. Cararus I. Corvinul Hunedoara 21. Perciun S. Torino 17. Puscas D. Petrocub Hincesti 9. Popescu P. Petrocub Hincesti	1. Gertmonas E. (G) Universitatea Cluj 17. Sirvys P. Maribor 3. Utkus E. Al Kholood 18. Armalas V. MTK Budapest 20. Baltrunas Z. Suduva 13. Lasickas J. (C) Rijeka 15. Gineitis G. Torino 6. Vorobjovas M. Istanbulspor AS 11. Sirgedas G. FK Kauno Zalgiris 10. Kalinauskas T. Roda 14. Kucys A. Celje
Substitutes
12. Avram C. (G) Araz PFK 7. Bodisteanu S. FC Botosani 18. Bogaciuc V. Petrocub Hincesti 11. Boiciuc A. FC Bihor 23. Cojuha A. (G) 5. Cucos C. Petrocub Hincesti 19. Dumbravanu D. Voluntari 10. Fratea V. Zimbru Chisinau 8. Lungu T. Unirea Slobozia 2. Negru S. Tranmere 20. Platica S. Petrocub Hincesti 25. Rotaru N. Petrocub Hincesti 3. Stefan M. Zimbru Chisinau 13. Stina V. Yehuda 26. Tonica D. Torino	23. Adamonis M. (G) Sudtirol 7. Burba M. FK Kauno Zalgiris 9. Dubickas E. Ternana 4. Girdvainis E. Transinvest 8. Matulevicius G. Zalgiris 16. Michelbrink L. Energie Cottbus 22. Mikulenas M. Riteriai 5. Olberkis S. AF Elbasani 21. Sesplaukis D. Zalgiris 12. Svedkauskas T. (G) FK Kauno Zalgiris 2. Tutyskinas A. Celje 19. Upstas K. Zalgiris

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Lasickas J. ⚽, Sirvys P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gherasimencov M. ↓, Dumbravanu D. ↑,
46', Cararus I. ↓, Lungu T. ↑,
46', Sirgedas G. ↓, Michelbrink L. ↑,
46', Baltrunas Z. ↓, Burba M. ↑,
55', Rata V. ↓, Fratea V. ↑,
55', Revenco I. ↓, Platica S. ↑,
56', Kucys A. 🟨,
60', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Sesplaukis D. ↑,
60', Kucys A. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
62', Perciun S. ↓, Boiciuc A. ↑,
62', Popescu P. ↓, Rotaru N. ↑,
68', Lungu T. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Gineitis G. ⚽,
76', Lasickas J. ↓, Upstas K. ↑,
76', Vorobjovas M. ↓, Matulevicius G. ↑,
77', Puscas D. ↓, Stina V. ↑,
77', Baboglo V. ↓, Tonica D. ↑,
77', Bors I. ↓, Stefan M. ↑,
83', Armalas V. ↓, Girdvainis E. ↑,
83', Sirvys P. ↓, Tutyskinas A. ↑,
90+3', Fratea V. 🟨,
90+3', Gineitis G. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moldova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moldova
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Israel - Moldova	4:1 ✺
13.11.25	Moldova - Italy	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Estonia - Moldova	1:1 ✺
Friendly
09.10.25	Romania - Moldova	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Norway - Moldova	11:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL
- Lithuania
FIFA World Cup
17.11.25	Netherlands - Lithuania	4:0 ✺
Friendly
13.11.25	Lithuania - Israel	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Lithuania - Poland	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Finland - Lithuania	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Lithuania - Netherlands	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
18.11.13	Moldova - Lithuania	1:1

Moldova - Lithuania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide