Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Estonia	ETV 2
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Moldova 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Estonia		Moldova

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.7
	2.12	3.2	3.7
	2.19	3.28	3.75
	2.04	3.26	3.92	Watch
	2.14	3.18	4	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.75)	3.27 ↓ (3.6)	3.97 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia
46.5%

Draw
29.3%

Moldova
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estonia's form might have worsened.

Moldova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	34.4%	3.1%

Estonia - Moldova Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Moldova will win (votes: 1 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estonia: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Estonia (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Moldova (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Estonia (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Moldova (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hein K. (G) Werder Bremen 19. Schjonning-Larsen M. Levadia 3. Paskotsi M. Gent 18. Mets K. (C) St. Pauli 23. Sinyavskiy V. Bohemians 1905 8. Soomets M. Start 4. Kait M. Thun 9. Yakovlev I. Panionios 14. Kristal P. Koln 7. Saarma R. FK Pardubice 15. Sappinen R. Flora	23. Kozhukhar A. (G) Veres Rivne 16. Forov D. Sheriff Tiraspol 14. Craciun A. LKS Lodz 4. Baboglo V. Karpaty Lviv 6. Gherasimencov M. Cavalry 2. Reabciuk O. Spartak Moscow 11. Caimacov M. Slaven Belupo 22. Rata V. (C) Campionii Arges 18. Bogaciuc V. Petrocub Hincesti 21. Perciun S. Torino 17. Postolachi V. Universitatea Cluj
Substitutes
12. Igonen M. (G) Degerfors 2. Kuusk M. GKS Katowice 17. Miller M. Paide Linnameeskond 11. Mustmaa K. PAOK 13. Paalberg M. Parnu JK Vaprus 10. Palumets K. Podbrezova 6. Peetson R. Levadia 22. Perk H. (G) Kalju 5. Shein R. R. Fredrikstad 21. Tamm A. O. Ljubljana 16. Tamm J. Sepsi 20. Vetkal M. Dordrecht	12. Avram C. (G) Araz PFK 10. Bodisteanu S. FC Botosani 9. Boiciuc A. Concordia 15. Bors I. Petrocub Hincesti 8. Botnari I. CSF Balti 1. Celeadnic D. (G) Ordabasy 7. Damascan V. Zrinjski 19. Dumbravanu D. Voluntari 5. Iovu I. Dundee Utd 13. Lupan M. Petrocub Hincesti 20. Platica S. Petrocub Hincesti 3. Stefan M. Zimbru Chisinau
Coaches
Henn J.	Popescu L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kait M. ⚽,
29', Reabciuk O. 🟨,
34', Bogaciuc V. 🟨,
45', Mets K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caimacov M. ↓, Bodisteanu S. ↑,
46', Bogaciuc V. ↓, Lupan M. ↑,
59', Kristal P. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
59', Saarma R. ↓, Mustmaa K. ↑,
62', Craciun A. ↓, Stefan M. ↑,
62', Rata V. ↓, Bors I. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Bodisteanu S. ⚽, Postolachi V. (A),
81', Forov D. ↓, Platica S. ↑,
82', Sappinen R. ↓, Tamm A. ↑,
86', Kait M. ↓, Paalberg M. ↑,
88', Tamm A. 🟨,
88', Baboglo V. 🟨,

Preview

Estonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Estonia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia
FIFA World Cup
11.10.25	Estonia - Italy	1:3 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Estonia - Andorra	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	Italy - Estonia	5:0 ✺
09.06.25	Estonia - Norway	0:1 ✺
06.06.25	Estonia - Israel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Moldova
Friendly
09.10.25	Romania - Moldova	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Norway - Moldova	11:1 ✺
05.09.25	Moldova - Israel	0:4 ✺
09.06.25	Italy - Moldova	2:0 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Poland - Moldova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Moldova - Estonia	2:3

Estonia - Moldova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide