Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Mollerussa		Vilassar de Mar

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.95
	1.7	3.49	4.74
	1.74	3.34	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)	3.36 ↑ (3.24)	4.36 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mollerussa
52.1%

Draw
27.1%

Vilassar de Mar
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.9%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

23.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mollerussa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Vilassar de Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mollerussa than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mollerussa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilassar de Mar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Mollerussa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vilassar de Mar is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mollerussa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mollerussa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mollerussa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mollerussa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CFJ Mollerussa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Mollerussa - Can Vidalet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	San Cristóbal - Mollerussa	6:3 ✺
26.10.25	Mollerussa - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Badalona - Mollerussa	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLTT
- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Vilassar de Mar - San Cristóbal	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Cornellà - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilassar de Mar - Badalona	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Vilassar de Mar - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar	3:0
01.12.24	Vilassar de Mar - Mollerussa	1:1
10.03.24	Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar	0:2
22.10.23	Vilassar de Mar - Mollerussa	3:1

Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide