Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Montañesa		Vilassar de Mar

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.23	4.49
	1.75	3.40	4.65	Watch
	1.81	3.18	4.33
	1.77	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	4.39 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
51.5%

Draw
27.7%

Vilassar de Mar
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

24.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Vilassar de Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+4%)

Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Junior ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Batalla G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 🟥,
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 2.

In recent matches, Montañesa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vilassar de Mar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vilassar de Mar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Montañesa is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Montañesa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Montañesa - San Cristóbal	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Cornellà - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Montañesa - Badalona	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Montañesa - Can Vidalet	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTTT
- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.10.25	Vilassar de Mar - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Peralada - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vilassar de Mar - Vic	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	LHospitalet - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
10.05.25	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	4:0
12.01.25	Vilassar de Mar - Montañesa	0:0
17.03.24	Vilassar de Mar - Montañesa	2:1
29.10.23	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	1:0
09.04.23	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	0:1
04.12.22	Vilassar de Mar - Montañesa	1:3

Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide