The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Molynes United 17.4%
Draw 22.1%
Cavalier 60.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.9%
24.9%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
23.9%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molynes United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molynes United's form might have worsened.
Cavalier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cavalier's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molynes United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molynes United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cavalier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Molynes United - Cavalier Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Chong O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', Murray O. 🟨,
76', Hamilton N. 🟥,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 11th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molynes won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Molynes (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Cavalier have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Cavalier is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Molynes has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:44 (averaging 0.7:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Molynes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 2:13 goals (averaging 0.3:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Cavalier
6
3
1
2
9:9
0
10
11
Molynes
7
2
0
5
6:16
-10
6
Last Results with these Odds
Cavalier - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.22%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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