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Current Win Probability
Molynes United 29.2%
Draw 26.2%
Humble Lions 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
27.7%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
27.5%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molynes United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molynes United's form might have worsened.
Humble Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Humble Lions's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molynes United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molynes United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Humble Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Molynes United - Humble Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Donaie D. (G) 22. Brown J. (C) 45. Frankson S. 5. Gordon E. 11. Livingston R. 31. McGregor P. 4. McPherson K. 6. McPherson R. 40. Murray N. 9. Wilson T. 10. Wright J.
33. Samuel G. (C) 17. Barnett S. 28. Campbell R. 5. Chambers A. 22. Graham K. 16. Morrison J. 12. Murray O. 14. Neil G. 24. Ramsey R. 15. Swaby E. 18. Thompson L.
Substitutes
18. Cooper C. 33. Dennis S. 32. Devonte D. 27. Fitz D. 7. Graham M. 17. Johnson S. 25. McLaughlin D. 20. Miller S. 8. Reid S. 1. Robinson C. (G)
25. Brown D. 8. Bryan K. 23. Campbell S. 9. Christian J. 10. Clarke C. 30. Harrison P. (G) 20. Thomas J. 27. Walker L. 13. Watson D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ramsey R. ⚽,
28', Swaby E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Livingston R. ↓, Graham M. ↑,
56', Wilson T. ↓, Devonte D. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Graham M. ⚽,
62', Murray N. 🟨,
63', 🟨,
71', Frankson S. 🟨,
76', 🟥,
76', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
87', Wright J. ↓, Miller S. ↑,
90+10', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Molynes won 2.
Molynes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Humble Lions is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Humble Lions could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Molynes won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.3:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Molynes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).