The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monagas 52.7%
Draw 26.7%
Trujillanos 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
26.9%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
26.3%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Monagas - Trujillanos Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Riveros T. (G) 22. Perlaza E. 4. Maitan M. 3. Rios J. 8. Ramirez C. 18. Caraballo J. (C) 14. Jaramillo F. 26. Castillo D. 7. Basante F. 11. Gonzalez F. 30. Sulbaran Y.
24. Teran L. (G) 2. Rojas O. 25. Pabon Delgao S. J. 4. Chaverra F. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 22. Gonzalez K. 14. Femia N. 8. Figueroa J. 10. Abreu E. 99. Livingston D. 17. Polo A.
Substitutes
20. Diaz H. 27. Farias E. 24. Herrera S. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 17. Paz Vasquez J. A. 19. Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. 55. Renteria M. 2. Rincones R. 9. Rodriguez R. 10. Romero A. 52. Vallenilla W.
1. Febres J. (G) 18. Mendez J. 19. Morillo R. 11. Mosquera L. 20. Paez J. 28. Sanchez A. 7. Torrealba E. 6. Trejo N. 3. Umbria Valecillos M. A.
Coaches
Zambrano O.
Chaurant O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Livingston D. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Livingston D. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
45+1', Maitan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
51', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
53', Rojas O. 🟨,
56', Gonzalez F. ↓, Renteria M. ↑,
56', Castillo D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
61', Rojas O. ↓, Umbria Valecillos M. A. ↑,
61', Femia N. ↓, Morillo R. ↑,
67', Sulbaran Y. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Renteria M. ⚽, Caraballo J. (A),
77', Figueroa J. ↓, Torrealba E. ↑,
77', Polo A. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
79', Perlaza E. 🟨,
81', Basante F. ↓, Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. ↑,
82', Perlaza E. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.
Monagas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Trujillanos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Monagas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Monagas is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).