The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Puerto Cabello 43.9%
Draw 28.9%
Monagas 27.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.8%
23.1%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
23.4%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Puerto Cabello's form might have worsened.
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+19.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monagas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Monagas will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Monagas (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Graterol J. (G) 29. Vargas J. 4. Baptista F. 14. Bortagaray G. 30. Casiani L. 77. Isah M. 36. Mendoza J. 24. Contreras H. (C) 15. Saggiomo D. 28. Osorio D. 27. Linares H.
1. Riveros T. (G) 70. Arace R. 4. Maitan M. 29. Henry N. 17. Paz J. 5. Colorado J. 14. Jaramillo F. 20. Diaz H. 8. Ramirez C. 7. Basante F. 10. Gonzalez L. (C)
Substitutes
21. Arenas J. 19. Castillo J. 41. Cova L. 5. Gonzalez G. 6. Lima P. 44. Melendez G. 8. Moreno J. 35. Pacheco R. 11. Pernia E. 9. Ponce A. 55. Romero L. (G) 16. Rosales R.
38. Asibe S. 27. Farias E. 31. Fuentes D. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 3. Queiroz F. 2. Rincones R. 21. Rodas A. 77. Rodriguez L. 6. Romero A. 19. Romero A. 11. Uruena B.
Coaches
Sarago E.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Contreras H. ⚽, Saggiomo D. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 2 - 1, Osorio D. ⚽, Saggiomo D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Linares H. ↓, Melendez G. ↑,
46', Baptista F. ↓, Rosales R. ↑,
46', Diaz H. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
60', Mendoza J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
60', Isah M. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
61', Ramirez C. ↓, Asibe S. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Osorio D. ⚽, Casiani L. (A),
75', Contreras H. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
75', Jaramillo F. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
75', Basante F. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Gonzalez L. ⚽, Asibe S. (A),
82', 3 - 3, Romero A. ⚽, Henry N. (A),
87', Gonzalez L. ↓, Rodas A. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 7th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 3.
Puerto Cabello has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Monagas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Monagas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Puerto Cabello carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Cabello has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:24 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Cabello against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
Venezuela
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Graterol J. (G) 
Bortagaray G. 
Isah M. 
Henry N. 
Colorado J. 
Rodas A. 
