Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.23	2.94	2.34
	3.43	3	2.21
	3.15	3.1	2.27
	3	3	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.57)	3.02 ↓ (3.29)	2.27 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
29.3%

Draw
30.4%

Setúbal
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.1%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Caleb ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Marouca J. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Soares F. ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
21.04.24	SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.04.24	Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Sintrense - Moncarapachense	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWT
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
21.04.24	Setúbal - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.04.24	Elvas - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Setúbal - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Oriental - Setúbal	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Setúbal - Juventude de Évora	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1
03.09.23	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	1:2
Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.23	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	2:3
08.10.22	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.01.21	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	1:0

Moncarapachense - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide