Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Oriental		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.72
	3.7	3.69	1.88
	3.7	3.69	1.88
	3.91	3.5	1.8
	4	3.55	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (5.39)	3.57 ↓ (3.72)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental
23.7%

Draw
25.7%

Setúbal
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

24.8%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

24.5%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriental's performance.

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Setúbal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Setúbal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
21', Carvalho D. ⚽,
24', Fernandes Silva D. C. ⚽,
26', Fernandes Silva D. C. ⚽,
33', Marouca J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Lima P. ⚽,
82', Maria G. 🟥,
85', Machado H. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Setúbal is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group )

Recent matches Oriental is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Setúbal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Setúbal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oriental won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Oriental won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.03.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Oriental - Elvas	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Oriental - Juventude de Évora	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Barreirense - Oriental	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Oriental - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLTL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.03.24	Setúbal - Juventude de Évora	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Barreirense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Setúbal - Sintrense	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.12.23	Setúbal - Oriental	2:0
Taça de Portugal
23.11.14	Oriental - Setúbal	1:0

Oriental - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide