Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 27

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Communal (Mondercange)


	Mondercange		Fola Esch

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.55	3.3	2.47
	2.6	3.48	2.5
	2.53	3.45	2.48	Watch
	2.53	3.32	2.42
	2.55	3.3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.52)	3.36 ↓ (3.47)	2.46 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mondercange
35.9%

Draw
27.1%

Fola Esch
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mondercange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Fola Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondercange than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fola Esch than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Mondercange - Fola Esch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Alilovic A. (G) 15. Costa R. 74. Drinka A. T. 22. Houelche L. 26. Klapp R. 17. Konte A. 27. Loichot M. 5. Marasi L. 70. Rocha Fonseca Y. 11. Rodrigues N. 6. Swistek J. (C)	22. Guessan M. (G) 31. Amou L. 11. Benamra M. 18. Caron G. 70. Dos Santos Aleixo R. 23. Freitas D. 28. Klein J. (C) 7. Mendes E. 12. Neves E. 20. Pauly C. 17. Scholler A.
Substitutes
8. Amadei J. 13. Bah M. 88. Bea R. 1. Fetic D. 10. Robert T. 12. Silva V. 40. Toure L.	1. Cabral E. (G) 9. Diakhite P. 72. Ferreira A. 10. Kalici R. 3. Lahure R. 15. Lopes Monteiro Y. 5. Muzhaqi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Costa R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Diakhite P. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Freitas D. ⚽,
60', Rodrigues N. ↓, Robert T. ↑,
60', Loichot M. ↓, Amadei J. ↑,
61', Pauly C. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
73', Freitas D. ↓, Muzhaqi M. ↑,
75', Diakhite P. 🟨,
80', Swistek J. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
80', Mendes E. ↓, Lopes Monteiro Y. ↑,
80', Benamra M. ↓, Kalici R. ↑,
82', Guessan M. 🟨,
84', Rocha Fonseca Y. ↓, Bah M. ↑,
85', Konte A. 🟨,
90+2', Dos Santos Aleixo R. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mondercange won 2.

Mondercange is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fola is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mondercange won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mondercange won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Mondercange - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.19%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mondercange
Luxembourg National Division
27.04.25	UNA Strassen - Mondercange	5:0 ✺
18.04.25	Mondercange - Racing Luxembourg	0:4 ✺
06.04.25	Mondercange - Rodange	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Differdange 03 - Mondercange	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Bettembourg - Mondercange	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fola Esch
Luxembourg National Division
27.04.25	Fola Esch - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
18.04.25	Pétange - Fola Esch	2:4 ✺
13.04.25	Fola Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Fola Esch	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Fola Esch - F91 Dudelange	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
24.11.24	Fola Esch - Mondercange	1:0
05.05.24	Mondercange - Fola Esch	2:1
26.11.23	Fola Esch - Mondercange	2:2
26.02.23	Fola Esch - Mondercange	2:0
28.08.22	Mondercange - Fola Esch	3:0
Luxembourg Cup
06.04.22	Mondercange - Fola Esch	0:4

Mondercange - Fola Esch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide