Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 25

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Communal (Mondercange)


	Mondercange		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.33
	7.8	4.9	1.3
	8.26	5.13	1.32
	8.24	4.9	1.31	Watch
	9.25	4.9	1.27
	7.8	4.9	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.93 ↑ (6.24)	4.96 ↓ (5)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mondercange
11.5%

Draw
18.4%

Racing Luxembourg
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

17.5%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mondercange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondercange than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mondercange - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Alilovic A. (G) 23. Balde S. 15. Costa R. 22. Houelche L. 26. Klapp R. 17. Konte A. 5. Marasi L. 27. Robert T. 11. Rodrigues N. 6. Swistek J. 40. Toure L.	16. Ruffier R. (C) 6. Ahmetxhekaj D. 42. Delferriere A. 77. Dewalque L. 20. Fonrose F. 11. Gomes A. 4. Kada J. 7. Mabella Y. 22. Mazie O. 30. Monge N. 53. N'Goma K.
Substitutes
8. Amadei J. 13. Bah M. 77. Loichot M. 1. Pianon F. 70. Rocha Fonseca Y. 12. Silva V. . Stoltz P.	19. Amiri D. 47. Diop A. 17. Dupays H. 15. Giesteira B. 80. Olm N. (G) 18. Seydi M. 33. Sow I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
2', 0 - 1, Mazie O. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Mabella Y. ⚽, Fonrose F. (A),
23', 0 - 3, Dewalque L. ⚽, Fonrose F. (A),
34', 0 - 4, Monge N. ⚽, N'Goma K. (A),
35', Costa R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Swistek J. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
46', Klapp R. ↓, Loichot M. ↑,
46', Robert T. ↓, Rocha Fonseca Y. ↑,
66', N'Goma K. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
66', Mazie O. ↓, Amiri D. ↑,
71', Dewalque L. 🟨,
73', Kada J. ↓, Dupays H. ↑,
73', Gomes A. ↓, Seydi M. ↑,
77', Rodrigues N. ↓, Amadei J. ↑,
79', Dewalque L. ↓, Giesteira B. ↑,
82', Rocha Fonseca Y. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Mondercange is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing Luxembourg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mondercange could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Racing Luxembourg have a series of home games.

In this match Racing Luxembourg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mondercange won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:13 (average 1:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Mondercange won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mondercange
Luxembourg National Division
06.04.25	Mondercange - Rodange	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Differdange 03 - Mondercange	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Bettembourg - Mondercange	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Mondercange - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Mondercange - Hostert	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLLWL
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
12.04.25	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
12.03.25	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	3:1 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
08.03.25	Racing Luxembourg - F91 Dudelange	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
27.10.24	Racing Luxembourg - Mondercange	5:2
12.05.24	Racing Luxembourg - Mondercange	1:1
02.12.23	Mondercange - Racing Luxembourg	0:4
16.04.23	Mondercange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1
06.11.22	Racing Luxembourg - Mondercange	2:2

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