Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday


	Monsoon		Frederiquense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.4
	1.75	3.1	4.41
	1.88	3.26	4.04	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.74	3.28	4.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	4.39 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monsoon
51.2%

Draw
28.2%

Frederiquense
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

30.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Monsoon - Frederiquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Monsoon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frederiquense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frederiquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monsoon is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monsoon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Monsoon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monsoon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
14.07.24	Frederiquense - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
10.07.24	Monsoon - Futebol com Vida	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	EC Pelotas - Monsoon	1:0 ✺
03.07.24	Lajeadense - Monsoon	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Monsoon - GE Bagé	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTW
- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
14.07.24	Frederiquense - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
10.07.24	Brasil de Farroupilha - Frederiquense	0:1 ✺
07.07.24	Frederiquense - GE Glória	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Frederiquense - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Veranopolis - Frederiquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
14.07.24	Frederiquense - Monsoon	1:1
20.05.23	Monsoon - Frederiquense	1:0

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