Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Montañesa		Sabadell B

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.35	3.14	2.91
	2.32	3.04	2.96
	2.2	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.91)	3.14 ↓ (3.29)	2.97 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
40.6%

Draw
28.9%

Sabadell B
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montañesa's form might have worsened.

Sabadell B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montañesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell B than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montañesa - Sabadell B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Doumbouya I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Montañesa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Sabadell B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montañesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montañesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Peralada - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Montañesa - San Cristóbal	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Montañesa - Girona B	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	LHospitalet - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7 TWTWT
- Sabadell B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Sabadell B - San Cristóbal	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Girona B - Sabadell B	3:4 ✺
16.03.25	Sabadell B - Grama	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Prat - Sabadell B	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Sabadell B - Manresa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.11.24	Sabadell B - Montañesa	2:0

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