The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montañesa 44.8%
Draw 28.8%
Vilassar de Mar 26.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.5%
27.6%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
23.9%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 Playoffs and 18th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 2.
Montañesa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vilassar de Mar has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Montañesa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Montañesa carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Montañesa has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:6 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montañesa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
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