Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)


	Montana		CSKA Sofia II

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.34	5.01
	1.6	3.54	5.58	Watch
	1.58	3.55	5.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)	3.48 ↓ (3.75)	5.37 ↓ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
57%

Draw
26.1%

CSKA Sofia II
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

23.2%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montana's form might have worsened.

CSKA Sofia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia II than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Montana - CSKA Sofia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Simeonov V. (C) 4. Borisov N. 6. Dinev D. 9. Ejike P. 18. Iliev K. 24. Kouakou W. 13. Rusinov I. 11. Sorakov M. 10. Todorov A. 23. Tungarov A. 20. Vakadinov B.	12. Orlinov M. (C) 21. Buchkov A. 4. Chatov S. 8. Iliev Y. 3. Ivanov L. 5. Marinov R. 7. Papazov M. 20. Tasev I. 22. Tsekov N. 11. Vasilev V. 10. Zhivkov R.
Substitutes
8. Atanasov P. 21. Burov D. 16. Cabanelas D. 14. Dobrev V. 22. Kamenov S. 17. Minkov G. 7. Slavchev R. 15. Taskov K. 12. Veskov Y. (G)	24. Apostolov T. 13. Borisov N. 9. Bornosuzov Y. 14. Nikolov A. 16. Petrov B. 30. Zagorski B. (G) 17. Zhabov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 16).

Montana is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches CSKA Sofia II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSKA Sofia II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montana is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Montana to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.09.24	Fratria - Montana	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Montana - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Montana	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Montana - Lovech	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Dunav Ruse - Montana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWT
- CSKA Sofia II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.09.24	Nesebar - CSKA Sofia II	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	CSKA Sofia II - Spartak Pleven	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	CSKA Sofia II - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1 ✺
12.08.24	Fratria - CSKA Sofia II	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	CSKA Sofia II - Sportist Svoge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLWL

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