Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)


	Montana		Chernomorets Burgas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.72	3.1	4.87
	1.73	3.1	4.87
	1.65	3.28	5.38	Watch
	1.65	3.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)	3.18 ↓ (3.5)	5.1 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
53.7%

Draw
28.6%

Chernomorets Burgas
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Montana - Chernomorets Burgas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,
76', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Montana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Montana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.04.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Montana	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Montana - Sportist Svoge	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Montana	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Montana - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ludogorets II - Montana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
31.03.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.09.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Montana	0:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.04.13	Chernomorets Burgas - Montana	1:0
15.09.12	Montana - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0
23.05.12	Montana - Chernomorets Burgas	N/A

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