Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre (Razgrad)


	Ludogorets II		Montana

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.63
	2.63	2.98	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.57	2.97	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.32)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.6 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets II
35.1%

Draw
30.1%

Montana
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Ludogorets II - Montana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Habil U. (G) 62. Ivanov D. 72. Ivanov R. (C) 66. Karaangelov P. 74. Kelyovluev H. 35. Kirev P. 29. Nikolov N. 63. Pemperski A. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 98. Yanev N.	30. Simeonov V. (C) 4. Borisov N. 21. Burov D. 6. Dinev D. 14. Dobrev V. 9. Ejike P. 18. Iliev K. 24. Kouakou W. 10. Todorov A. 23. Tungarov A. 20. Vakadinov B.
Substitutes
76. Dimitrov K. 58. Iliev D. 83. Ivanov R. 34. Kostadinov B. 59. Lukanov A. 40. Marinov A. 69. Stoimenov Z. (G) 75. Surov E. 93. Yordanov Y.	8. Atanasov P. 16. Cabanelas D. 22. Kamenov S. 17. Minkov G. 13. Rusinov I. 7. Slavchev R. 15. Taskov K. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 12. Veskov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ludogorets II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets II won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.09.24	Ludogorets II - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Ludogorets II - Spartak Pleven	3:2 ✺
02.09.24	Ludogorets II - Fratria	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Sportist Svoge - Ludogorets II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWW
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.24	Montana - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Spartak Pleven - Montana	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Montana - CSKA Sofia II	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Fratria - Montana	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Montana - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.02.24	Ludogorets II - Montana	2:1
14.08.23	Montana - Ludogorets II	3:2
21.05.23	Ludogorets II - Montana	3:2
24.10.22	Montana - Ludogorets II	2:0
05.03.22	Montana - Ludogorets II	1:0
18.08.21	Ludogorets II - Montana	1:0
09.03.20	Montana - Ludogorets II	2:0

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