Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Noia		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.1	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	3.1 ↑ (2.88)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
26.4%

Draw
29.4%

Gran Peña
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.5%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.6%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 4, ⚽,
60', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gran Peña may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gran Peña might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Noia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gran Pena	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Juventud Cambados - Noia	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Noia - Boiro	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Barco - Noia	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Atlético Arteixo - Noia	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Noia - Compostela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLLWT
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
03.05.26	Gran Peña - RC Villalbes	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Gran Peña - Alondras	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lugo B - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Viveiro - Gran Peña	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Compostela - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Gran Peña - Noia	5:0
27.10.24	Noia - Gran Peña	2:1

Noia - Gran Peña: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide