Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Montañesa		Castelldefels

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.74	3.22	4.38
	1.75	3.22	4.38
	1.74	3.43	4.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.29 ↓ (3.46)	4.37 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
51.9%

Draw
27.4%

Castelldefels
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

23.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Castelldefels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montañesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Aless ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Montañesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelldefels is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castelldefels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montañesa is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montañesa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Montañesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
21.04.24	Badalona - Montañesa	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Montañesa - San Cristóbal	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Grama - Montañesa	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Montañesa - Pobla de Mafumet	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Peralada - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLL
- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
21.04.24	Castelldefels - Vilafranca	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	LEscala - Castelldefels	4:2 ✺
07.04.24	Castelldefels - Girona B	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Tona - Castelldefels	4:1 ✺
24.03.24	Castelldefels - Reus FC Reddis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Castelldefels - Montañesa	0:3
16.04.23	Montañesa - Castelldefels	0:1
11.12.22	Castelldefels - Montañesa	3:4
02.04.21	Montañesa - Castelldefels	0:1
27.01.21	Castelldefels - Montañesa	0:0

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