The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tona 36.8%
Draw 29.6%
Castelldefels 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.2%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
27.9%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Castelldefels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Jimenez A. (Own goal),
16', 1 - 1, Vilanova E. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Morer P. ⚽,
30', 3 - 1, Casanova Clusells A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Tona has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Castelldefels is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Our prediction for today's Castelldefels to win the game is with odds 2.68.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Tona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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