Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Montañesa		Manresa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.51	3.34	1.93
	3.34	3.14	2.16	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.91
	3.7	3.32	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)	3.24 ↑ (2.97)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
25.8%

Draw
28.1%

Manresa
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

30.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

30%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Montañesa - Manresa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Montañesa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Manresa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Manresa is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Montañesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montanesa	4	3	0	1	5:1	4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Manresa - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.25%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.04.26	CE Europa B - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Montañesa - Grama	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Tona - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Montañesa - Lleida	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vilanova - Montañesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.04.26	Manresa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Peralada - Manresa	3:4 ✺
28.03.26	Manresa - Vic	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	LHospitalet - Manresa	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Manresa - Can Vidalet	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Manresa - Montañesa	2:0
26.01.25	Montañesa - Manresa	1:2
06.03.21	Manresa - Montañesa	0:0
06.12.20	Montañesa - Manresa	1:2

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