Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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Montañesa |
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Lleida |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2 |
2.98 |
3.65 |
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2.1 |
2.92 |
3.93 |
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2.07 |
2.88 |
3.88 |
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2 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
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2.05 |
3.25 |
3.67 |
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1.85 |
3 |
3.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.85) |
2.99 ↓
(3) |
3.67 ↑
(3.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montañesa
45% | Draw
30.3% | Lleida
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montañesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-2.2%)Montañesa - Lleida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Junior ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Revert J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 1, Sierra O. ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, Aviles J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).Montañesa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Lleida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Montañesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Montañesa could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montañesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Montanesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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