Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Montañesa		Mollerussa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.2
	2.11	3.12	3.41	Watch
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.1	3.35	3.41
	2.03	3.25	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.94)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	3.33 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
43.8%

Draw
28.9%

Mollerussa
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mollerussa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mollerussa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Montañesa - Mollerussa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

In recent matches, Montañesa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mollerussa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montañesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Montañesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montanesa	4	3	0	1	5:1	4	9
15	Mollerussa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	San Cristóbal - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Montañesa - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Badalona - Montañesa	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Can Vidalet - Montañesa	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Montañesa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLT
- CFJ Mollerussa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Mollerussa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Peralada - Mollerussa	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Mollerussa - Vic	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	LHospitalet - Mollerussa	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mollerussa - Manresa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:1
16.03.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	0:0
03.11.24	Montañesa - Mollerussa	1:2
05.05.24	Montañesa - Mollerussa	3:2
14.01.24	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:0

Montañesa - Mollerussa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide