The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mollerussa 26.3%
Draw 27.2%
Manresa 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
27.6%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
27%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mollerussa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mollerussa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Mollerussa - Manresa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Dueso O. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Carbonell F. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Diaz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).
Mollerussa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Manresa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Manresa could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mollerussa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Mollerussa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Mollerussa
4
1
1
2
2:3
-1
4
Last Results with these Odds
Mollerussa - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.22%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.