Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Vanraure Hachinohe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	2.98	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.21	2.22
	3.11	3.26	2.27	Watch
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.03	3.14	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.55)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	2.21 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
29.4%

Draw
29.1%

Vanraure Hachinohe
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montedio Yamagata's form might have worsened.

Vanraure Hachinohe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vanraure Hachinohe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vanraure Hachinohe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montedio Yamagata - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Shibuya T. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 3. Kumamoto Y. 49. Sakamoto K. 15. Kawai A. 7. Nakamura R. 17. Terayama T. 25. Kokubu S. 10. Kida R. 9. Takahashi J. 14. Yanagimachi K.	13. Onishi S. (G) 41. Shirai H. 11. Yukie H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 8. Otoizumi S. 34. Takayoshi S. 5. Inazumi D. 16. Kaburaki M. 80. Nagata K. 9. Takao R. 10. Sawakami R.
Substitutes
11. Disaro A. S. 1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 24. Hiraga S. 4. Nishimura K. 13. Nodake H. 21. Tanaka W. 88. Thalisson 18. Yokoyama R. 20. Yoshio Kaina	15. Hayami S. 22. Honda K. 30. Inami Y. 24. Kurisawa R. 99. Nakano S. 90. Origbaajo I. 28. Tanaka T. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G)
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Takahashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kokubu S. ⚽, Takahashi J. (A),
17', Kumamoto Y. ↓, Nishimura K. ↑,
39', Nishimura K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shirai H. ↓, Hayami S. ↑,
57', Nagata K. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
65', Takao R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
74', Hayami S. 🟨,
78', Takayoshi S. ↓, Origbaajo I. ↑,
78', Kaburaki M. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
78', Kokubu S. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
85', Terayama T. 🟨,
90+2', Kida R. ↓, Thalisson ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vanraure may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montedio Yamagata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Montedio Yamagata - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.44%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Vanraure Hachinohe - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Montedio Yamagata	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Shonan Bellmare - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLL
- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Tochigi City - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:4 ✺
08.04.26	Tochigi - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:3 ✺
05.04.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Montedio Yamagata	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Sagamihara	2:3 penalties ✺
21.03.26	Blaublitz Akita - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Montedio Yamagata	0:2

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