Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Montego Bay United		Arnett Gardens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.10	4.60
	1.56	4.10	4.25	Watch
	1.55	4.20	4.99
	1.61	4.07	4.96	Watch
	1.53	3.95	4.90
	1.61	4.29	4.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)	4.12 ↑ (3.55)	4.74 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montego Bay United
58.5%

Draw
22.2%

Arnett Gardens
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montego Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montego Bay United's performance.

Arnett Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Fletcher J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Campbell D. (Penalty Awarded),
78', 2 - 1, Taylor G. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Roderick ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premier League Playoffs - Semi - finals and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montego Bay United won 1.

Montego Bay United is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Arnett Gardens could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Montego Bay United is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Montego Bay United in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Montego Bay United has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:30 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montego Bay United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montego Bay	7	4	2	1	10:5	5	14
8	Arnett Gardens	6	2	2	2	14:10	4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Montego Bay United - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montego Bay United
Jamaica National Premier League
11.10.26	Cavalier - Montego Bay United	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Montego Bay United - Dunbeholden	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Racing United - Montego Bay United	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Montego Bay United - Tru-Juice	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Montego Bay United - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTW
- Arnett Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
05.10.26	Arnett Gardens - Portmore United	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cavalier - Arnett Gardens	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Arnett Gardens - Dunbeholden	3:0 ✺
14.09.26	Racing United - Arnett Gardens	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Portmore United - Arnett Gardens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
15.04.26	Arnett Gardens - Montego Bay United	1:0
01.03.26	Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens	1:1
15.12.25	Arnett Gardens - Montego Bay United	0:1
23.05.25	Arnett Gardens - Montego Bay United	4:2
17.03.25	Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens	2:2
13.01.25	Arnett Gardens - Montego Bay United	1:0
07.10.24	Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens	1:0

Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens