Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Montijo		Santa Amalia

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.86	3.05	4.2
	1.85	3.17	4.32	Watch
	1.93	3.12	4.37
	1.86	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.06)	3.1 ↓ (3.29)	4.22 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
48.9%

Draw
29.4%

Santa Amalia
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Amalia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montijo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Amalia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montijo - Santa Amalia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Montijo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.03.25	Calamonte - Montijo	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Badajoz - Montijo	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Montijo - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Moralo - Montijo	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Montijo - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTWWT
- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.03.25	Santa Amalia - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Moralo - Santa Amalia	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Santa Amalia - Diocesano	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Azuaga - Santa Amalia	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Santa Amalia - Castuera	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.11.24	Santa Amalia - Montijo	2:0

Montijo - Santa Amalia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide