Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Santa Amalia		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.88	2.52
	2.75	2.88	2.51
	2.8	2.96	2.56
	2.8	2.75	2.5
	2.75	2.88	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 (2.78)	2.87 (2.87)	2.52 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Amalia
32.6%

Draw
31.5%

Villafranca
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

31.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Villafranca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Santa Amalia - Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Santa Amalia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villafranca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santa Amalia	4	1	3	0	5:2	3	6
15	Villafranca	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Don Benito - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jerez - Santa Amalia	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Santa Amalia - Azuaga	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Gévora - Santa Amalia	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Santa Amalia - Calamonte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLW
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Villafranca - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Gévora - Villafranca	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villafranca - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Villafranca - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
13.12.25	Villafranca - Santa Amalia	1:2
30.03.25	Santa Amalia - Villafranca	1:1
17.11.24	Villafranca - Santa Amalia	2:0

Santa Amalia - Villafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide