Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Montlouis		Avranches

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3
	1.99	3.15	3.44
	2.01	3.27	3.45	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2	3.16	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.38)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	3.42 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montlouis
45.1%

Draw
28.6%

Avranches
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montlouis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montlouis's performance.

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avranches might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montlouis than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montlouis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avranches could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montlouis - Avranches Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Chica P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Adeoti J. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Boateng C. ⚽,
73', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montlouis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montlouis	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Avranches - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montlouis
French National 1 - Group A
11.04.26	Les Herbiers - Montlouis	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Montlouis - Aviron Bayonnais	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Montlouis - Granville	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Dinan-Léhon - Montlouis	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Montlouis - Lorient II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLTW
- US Avranches
French National 1 - Group A
11.04.26	Avranches - Dinan-Léhon	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lorient II - Avranches	2:4 ✺
01.04.26	Avranches - Angoulême	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Avranches - St Colomban-Locminé	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Chauray - Avranches	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
06.12.25	Avranches - Montlouis	3:3

Montlouis - Avranches: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide