Match Info

League One - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Montrose		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.30	2.20
	2.87	3.30	2.10
	3.25	3.30	1.97
	2.93	3.53	2.31
	3.28	3.55	2.07	Watch
	2.90	3.40	2.25
	2.89	3.46	2.30	Watch
	2.90	3.35	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.94)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)	2.18 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
30.9%

Draw
27%

Hamilton Academical
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.9%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.7%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Montrose - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gill C. (G) 2. Williamson R. 4. Quinn A. (C) 5. McGinty S. 3. Duffy F. 7. Webster G. 6. Byrne S. 8. Barjonas J. 19. Oliver G. 12. Freeman K. 9. Loudon E.	1. Lyness D. (G) 2. Comrie A. 16. Smutek K. 3. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 8. MacDonald K. 6. Blues C. 17. Bannigan S. 15. Newbury C. 7. Thomas D. 27. McKinstry S.
Substitutes
20. Bertie K. 21. Campbell M. (G) 15. Clelland A. 22. Craig H. 14. Dillon S. 17. Donaldson F. 11. Lyons B. 23. McClements K. 16. Sutherland J.	10. Bradley S. 21. Crookston G. 52. Marks M. (G) 5. Owens F. 29. Ryan A. 22. Shiels D. 9. Sutherland T. 23. Syme M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, McGinty S. (Own goal),
23', 0 - 2, McKinstry S. ⚽, MacDonald K. (A),
25', Loudon E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', Newbury C. ↓, Ryan A. ↑,
62', Byrne S. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
62', Loudon E. ↓, Sutherland J. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Bannigan S. ⚽, Ryan A. (A),
70', 0 - 4, Hendrie S. ⚽, MacDonald K. (A),
76', MacDonald K. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
76', Thomas D. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
77', Oliver G. ↓, Craig H. ↑,
79', 0 - 5, McKinstry S. ⚽,
80', Bannigan S. ↓, Sutherland T. ↑,
80', Comrie A. ↓, Shiels D. ↑,
81', Webster G. ↓, Bertie K. ↑,
81', Williamson R. ↓, Clelland A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Hamilton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Montrose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:2.8).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09% Montrose: 1.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13:14	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Montrose - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.74%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Montrose - Spartans	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Arbroath - Montrose	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Stirling Albion - Montrose	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Montrose - Dundee United	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Montrose - Civil Service Strollers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWWWT
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Hamilton Academical - Elgin City	5:0 ✺
21.07.26	Kilmarnock - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	2:1 penalties ✺
11.07.26	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Haverfordwest County - Hamilton Academical	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
18.04.26	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:2
28.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	1:1
18.10.25	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:4
02.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	2:0
20.04.24	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	1:2
27.01.24	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	1:1
28.10.23	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:3

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